After a long and quiet midterm-fatigue, today was the first careful look at the stakes for Congress next fall. And it doesn’t look very good.
Of 33 seats up for election, 23 are currently dem seats, only ten republican. Balance at the moment is 53-47, which means that the current warped version of gop will gain control of the Senate – if they win 14 of 33 races. And with some lessons learned from last year, like avoiding the most extreme candidates, that could become a very likely outcome.
Watching an ad yesterday from a rightwing group – hammering the numbers on unemployment, debt and gas prices, it was all very effective and convincing. So one scenario is this: Romney becomes the gop candidate, and the huge right wing/tea party bloc express their voices stronger in the senate and house races than in the general election – as Romney is way too moderate.
Then we could end up with a passive and timid President and a fully Republican and aggressive Congress.
Which means more to the 1%, and worse for everyone else.
Which means the choice next year is between bad and worse.
And which means our hopes should be set on 2016. If that goes well, the right person gets into power, and things take effect within a year or two – better days shall come.
Only solace at the moment for 2012 is that an all-red Congress next year would splinter the right-wing movements when all the practical decisions on the budget have to be made. It’s nice to think so, anyhow.