Bush Struggles to Calm Donors – Rubio leads the GOP prediction markets

The Marco Rubio campaign seems to be gaining some strength in the last few weeks.. and is one of the few who seems to be benefiting from attacking Donald Trump..
Rubio also has lots of charm.. but a stronger hawkish attitude towards foreign policy.. which might be playing into his advantage after the depressing UN summit this week.. putting the US on the sidelines in world politics, and Iran and Russia taking more control over the Middle East and the geopolitics of Eurasia..



“For the past week, Jeb Bush’s campaign advisers have been using a new data point to convince nervous donors that he’s still the candidate to beat — Bush’s lead in the political prediction markets,” Politico reports.

“Just one problem: Beginning Sunday night, PredictIt, the biggest of the online sites and the one referenced last week by top Bush advisers and confidants, placed Marco Rubio ahead of Bush at the head of the GOP pack. The sudden evaporation of yet another data point in his favor explains the tension in and around Bush’s campaign this week on the eve of the third quarter FEC fundraising deadline.”

Poll: Clinton leading Sanders by just 7 points

Another stunning national poll.. Sanders is just 7 points behind… and Hillary’s trajectory is in free-fall….



The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Sunday morning found Clinton with 42 percent support nationally, compared to Sanders’s 35 percent.

If Vice President Joe Biden does not run, pollsters found, Clinton’s lead over Sanders rises to 15 points. Biden had 17 percent support in the survey.

Clinton held a 34-point lead over Sanders in July, and a 60-point lead in June.

What If Russia’s Foreign Minister Conducted Official Business on an Unsecured Private Server?

The head of the NSA gives a brief assessment about how a Russian FM Lavrov private email server would have been seen by the Intelligence Community..


Today Admiral Michael Rogers, head of the National Security Agency,
testified before the Senate Select Intelligence Committee on cybersecurity. Senator Tom Cotton asked him two questions, the second of which was brilliant: 1) Are the communications of the president’s most senior advisors, including those that may be unclassified, a “top priority for foreign intelligence services?” and 2) What would he think if he learned that Russia’s Foreign Minister, or Iran’s, was conducting official business on a homebrew server?

Bill Clinton: GOPers want to ruin Hillary

Bill Clinton is weighing in on presidential politics… but he makes a very weak case….
Dismissing the concerns about 1. her judgement of setting up this server and 2. her lack of handling this controversy for months, is misplaced…
As the polls are clearly showing…
He also seems a bit “off” his game…


Washington (CNN)Bill Clinton said Friday he believes Republicans are exaggerating scandals against his wife, using the scrutiny over her email use while at the State Department to tear her down.

“I think that there are lots of people who wanted there to be a race for different reasons. And they thought the only way they could make it a race was a full-scale frontal assault on her. And so this email thing became the biggest story in the world,” Clinton said to CNN’s Fareed Zakaria in an interview that will air Sunday on “Fareed Zakaria GPS.”

“I actually am amazed that she’s borne up under it as well as she has. But I have never seen so much expended on so little. … I trust the people. I think it will be all right. But it’s obvious what happened,” Clinton added.

Report: Biden’s entry into White House race now appears more about when, not if

A Biden entrance will make a huge mess on the left…



Vice President Biden’s aides in recent days called Democratic donors and supporters to suggest he is more likely than not to enter the 2016 race
, and their discussions have shifted toward the timing of an announcement, said people familiar with the matter, according to The Wall Street Journal.

While the Biden team is still debating the best time to jump in, the vice president met Monday with his political advisers and talked about the merits of an early entry that would assure him a place in the Democratic debate scheduled for Oct. 13. They also are honing his campaign message and moving ahead with plans to raise money and hire staff, the people said.

A big factor in Biden’s decision remains whether he can work through the emotional toll of the recent death of his elder son
, Beau Biden. But the shift in the deliberations to the timing of an announcement is a fresh sign that he is moving closer to a bid.

Can Donald Trump Be Stopped?

Mark Halperin has a long and interesting analysis of Trump.. and indirectly indicates that Trump might win this.. implied by the lack of any clear derailment issues..

Donald Trump Holds Media Availability In New York City

Like almost everyone I know who is working on, covering, or closely following the presidential election, I spend about 60 percent of my waking hours talking about Donald Trump. People want to know if he can win, if he will win, and what might possibly derail his candidacy. The reason the answers are so elusive is that Trump has proven to be unlike any other candidate in modern American politics.

..With Trump, the rules have changed. So far, he has proven to be largely immune from attack, and also a master killer himself, with a unique political arsenal. With a few months to go before voters vote, Trump has squashed the poll numbers and personas of a host of his rivals, without resorting to significant traditional opposition research, paid media, or surrogates. He simply uses Instagram, Twitter, and his virtually unlimited access to the news media to unsheathe his sharp tongue, cutthroat sensibility, and unerring perverse humor. And Trump can shift to kill mode without strain or hesitation.

Wall Street’s latest panic: Trump could win

Trump is growing stronger – but still on a very hybrid kind of policy platform.. strong on illegal immigration, tax the rich, universal health care, reverse outsourcing.. pro life.. pro guns..



NEW YORK — Wall Street is growing increasingly terrified that Donald Trump — once viewed as an amusing summertime distraction — could actually win the Republican nomination for president.

The real estate billionaire, who took another populist shot on Sunday by ripping into lavish executive pay, continues to rise in the polls. Would-be Wall Street saviors like Jeb Bush are languishing in single digits. The belief that Trump’s candidacy would quickly fade is now evaporating in a wave of fear.

“I held four lunches for investors in August and at the first one everyone assumed Trump would implode,”
said Byron Wien, vice chairman of Blackstone Advisory Partners and a senior figure on Wall Street. “By the fourth one everyone was taking him very seriously. He taps into frustrations that are very real and he is a master manipulator of the media.”

GOP senators would back Trump as Republican nominee

As even Senators like John McCain now implies a support for Trump, were he to win the nomination, something must have changed…
Establishment support, rising electability… the major sticking point about Trump’s lacking ground game might change too…
Within a month or two.. it could look very probable with a Trump nominee, and a Trump Presidency.

GOP senators would back Trump as Republican nominee


Republican senators, the heart of the GOP establishment, will support Donald Trump if he wins the nomination for president, even though they’re not thrilled at the prospect.

(..) “It’s hard to predict because a lot of things happen between now and then, but I certainly would support the nominee, no matter who it is,” said Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), the 2008 GOP nominee whose war record and imprisonment in Vietnam were mocked over the summer by Trump.

“I can’t see myself saying a Democratic candidate would be better for the country,” said Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa),
the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee.