Three days.

Now for the Senate..

Tuesday is closing in – and the House is finally done with its symbolics and rants. A little group of people are insisting on blocking the whole constitutional process of working together in Congress to find a practical solution on things – even when things like a grand bargain was available that would’ve been a big step in the right direction for everyone.

So now we have a three day period of Senate business to figure out another deal that is doable, or some kind of limited postponement will probably be decided by the White House next week.

The downgrade of credit will probably happen within a few months anyways, adding to problems, but it’s really just a very lagging indicator of the general mismanagement of public finances for well over a decade.

Now, some reflections on the process:

  • The House seems deeper divided than many expected. Some lie about taxes and the basics of economics – some truly believe in this stuff. And thus the fronts are hardened.
  • The Speaker might be a better negotiator than the President – but his caucus might be mission impossible to manage. The short-term young freshmen don’t care about rank and establishment – they’re on a mission to “change” government through necessary obstruction.
  • The responsible and non-extremist part of GOP has been a bit more forceful in their internal pushback of unyielding members among their own. The party is no longer one strong block of discipline and cohesion.
  • The President has pulled out, but maybe it’s for the best, as he really just can’t do this part of the job. Better to get out of the way.
  • Harry Reid showed some forceful moves the last days – well done. A very small and feeble force, but still – a clear improvement for the balance of the process.

So what to make of all this.

The economy will probably keep getting worse as debt grows and US companies choose to hire overseas. Even a $4tr package is not really enough to fix those kinds of problems. And with no new revenues and aging population – it just won’t work.

The country keeps declining with a non-functional government who no longer is able to act according to the peoples vote and wishes.

The political fallout is hard to predict. Short-term there will probably be more noise and even harder fronts, though likely shifted from between the parties to between extremists vs. the rest. Default and shutdown could be a permanent issue and media circus the next fifteen months.

Longer term who knows… But I sometimes think a strong moderate conservative movement AND a strong progressive movement is both needed to pull things back on track. And nothing will significantly change before business/money get less influence on congress and government. It’s not a democracy if someone holds a gun to the legislators heads and dictates their vote.

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21 thoughts on “Three days.

  1. For the first time, I’ve begun to hear the phases ‘broken government’ and ‘dysfuntional’ thrown around amongst the talking heads.

    I think they’re finally getting a glimpse of the size of the real problem.

    • I think journalism schools teaches never to involve your own opinion – just report both sides as “neutral” viewpoints.

      I think many are reconsidering these days.

      Even Krauthammer(!) fired some shots at Cantors block the other day. That’s sort of the last stance.. (Given that George Will is delusional, and Redstate Erickson already has blaimed W for the debt and other problems).

      But old habits are sooooo slow.. i guess people just decided to be Republicans at some point, and never re-examined what kind of changes have happened the last decade. DC is just “noise” anyways.

      Hopefully this summer accelarates some kind of “awakening”.

  2. And the ability of both parties members to remember they are the REPRESENTATIVES of 300 Million people NOT just some knuckleheads on the right…..OR…the left……

    COMPROMISE is the grease that makes the system work…..

    The House rightwingnuts may think they are getting their way but it’s just smoke and mirrors…..

    (Moe it ain’t broken…..The newbies are just trying to change the rules….It won’t work in the end…)

    • That, too.

      They are probably not at all that reluctant “victims” of donor pressure.. i guess many/most very willingly seek proximity to those circles that blurs away the representative part. Because “everyone” does it or it’s “just how it works”..

  3. This is what the Koch Brothers and American Freedom Works wanted, and so far its working with nutty Tea Baggers in Washington. How long it will last? Who knows.

  4. It’s a lot of things to mull now in the aftermath..
    The policy is one thing – and if defense cuts and new revenues might emerge from this supercomittee.. maybe the deal was barely good enough for now..

    But the process… it was very bad.. and disturbing…

    and what is the lesson for boehner…. that he needs center/conservative democrats to save him? the tp caucus could be irrelevant from now.. only loyal to sabotage… refusing to acknowledge the consequences of their actions..

    and according to matt kibbe on hardball last night.. the tea party’s responsibility is not to govern.. but to protest.. he might regret that admission.. it’s the first time a wideopen crack was exposed in his thinking.

    And nate silver has a point.. the outcome compared to a worst scenario is not all that bad.. but compared to the people’s will and the economic realities – it might not be good enough to prevent more recession… it’s bad all over…

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