Trump Maintains Lead in New Hampshire

From the second primary state – Trump seems to have won the race, while Sanders might take the Democratic vote. On Monday Iowa is just six weeks away, on Tuesday New Hampshire is seven weeks away.

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https://politicalwire.com/2015/12/18/trump-maintains-lead-in-new-hampshire/

A Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump leads the GOP presidential race with 26%, followed by Marco Rubio at 12%, Ted Cruz at 12%, Chris Christie at 11%, Jeb Bush at 10% and John Kasich at 8%.

Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders barely leads Hillary Clinton in the Democratic race, 48% to 46%.

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Trump Says He’s ‘Postponing’ Israel Trip, Netanyahu Meeting

Trump’s response to Netanyahu is very interesting news, as this is in some ways Trump’s first real action in the field of foreign policy as a possible President. And this is rough politics, and an open threat, and a stark contrast to Obama & Kerry’s style.

It’s also Trump starting to wield more power, one year before maybe formally gaining the position, and Israel will be listening.

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http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-says-hes-postponing-israel-trip-netanyahu-meeting-n477591

A day after being criticized by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for his comments about Muslims, Donald Trump abruptly announced Thursday that he is "postponing" a planned trip to Israel and rescheduling a meeting with the country’s leader until "after I become President of the U.S."

Trump had previously promised to travel to Israel before the end of the year, and he was slated to meet with Netanyahu on December 28.

He tweeted the announcement early Thursday.

"I have decided to postpone my trip to Israel and to schedule my meeting with @Netanyahu at a later date after I become President of the U.S."

On Wednesday, Netanyahu rebuked Trump for his suggestion that the United States should place a temporary ban on Muslim entrants to the country.

GOP Insiders See Trump Winning Several Early States

Just a little update – our earlier predictions from October 13th about Trump vs. Hillary for the next election seem to hold..
Both have a commanding lead in their parties, and in a few days we’re entering December..
This also has potentially big implications for the upcoming shifts in US domestic and foreign policy, 1 year from now.

https://politicalwire.com/2015/11/27/gop-insiders-now-see-trump-winning-several-early-states/

Republican insiders tell Politico that Donald Trump “could take two of the first four early voting states, though they caution his hold on Iowa is weak.”

“Roughly three-in-four GOP insiders in New Hampshire and South Carolina, many of whom have been repeatedly and consistently skeptical of Trump’s chances, now say he would win their states if their primaries were held today… But his hold on Iowa and Nevada is more tenuous, according to insiders who note those states’ caucuses require significant organizational muscle to produce a win.”

Trump Expands His Lead Nationally

It still looks like Trump is holding his lead nationally and might win the early states, and the nomination..

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http://politicalwire.com/2015/11/17/trump-expands-his-lead-nationally-2/

A new Morning Consult poll finds Donald Trump continues to lead the Republican presidential field nationally by a wide margin, after seeing his support dip in late October.

Trump leads with 38%,
followed by Ben Carson at 19%, Marco Rubio at 7%, Ted Cruz at 7% and Jeb Bush at 6%.

GOP 3rd Debate

Trump is likely just stronger as a candidate after the 3rd round of debates.

He was more “above the fray” this time, more restrained but also very efficient and authoritative when shutting people down, and in the end – he will probably get enough votes to become the nominee, based upon his proven ability to get things done.

Big Majority of GOP Says Trump Is Most Electable

Trump is now widely seen as most electable candidate, has huge leads on issues like the economy, trade and immigration, a big polling lead nationally, and big leads in 3 of 4 primary states for months.

https://i0.wp.com/static.politifact.com.s3.amazonaws.com/politifact%2Fphotos%2Ftrump2.jpg

http://politicalwire.com/2015/10/25/big-majority-of-gop-say-trump-is-most-electable/

A new Associated Press-GfK poll finds that 70% of Republican voters view Donald Trump as their strongest general election candidate, highlighting “the sharp contrast between the party’s voters and its top professionals regarding the billionaire businessman’s ultimate political strength.”

Trump and Carson Even in Iowa

Trump & Carson steady in the front for the GOP nomination, Trump back up in Iowa, and big leads (+17 and +26) in NH and SC.

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http://politicalwire.com/2015/10/25/trump-and-carson-even-in-iowa/

A new CBS News poll in Iowa shows Donald Trump and Ben Carson deadlocked at 27% to 27%, with Ted Cruz at 12%, Marco Rubio at 9% and Jeb Bush at 6%.

In New Hampshire, Trump leads with 38%, followed by Carson at 12%, Bush at 8%, Rubio at 7%, Carly Fiorina at 7%, Cruz at 5% and John Kasich at 5%.

In South Carolina, Trump leads with 40%, followed by Carson at 23%, Cruz at 8%, Rubio at 7% and Bush at 6%.

Trump attacks Carson, says he lacks energy necessary to be president

Ben Carson is way up in Iowa – and Trump has to start punching first this time..

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http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/23/politics/donald-trump-miami-rally/

Miami (CNN) Donald Trump on Friday downplayed the results of two Iowa polls that show him slipping to second place in the key first state, and he took shots at Iowa’s new front-runner: Ben Carson.

Speaking at Trump National Doral Miami resort, Trump knocked Carson’s reserved persona and questioned his competence before a revved-up crowd of supporters.

"Donald Trump falls to second place behind Ben Carson," Trump said, reading the headline of the day. "We informed Ben, but he was sleeping."

He added that Carson could not aggressively tackle trade in the way Trump has pledged to do and said the country needs a "special leader" with "tremendous energy" as president. And in more subtle ways, Trump hinted at a contrast between him and Carson as he pointed out that the U.S. needs a strong leader in the face of "medieval times" in which ISIS is beheading Christians.